Predator/Prey Model

What’s a shareholder activist?

Photo K Connors. Source: Morguefile

An activist is someone who takes a stake in a company to put public pressure on management to change its approach. Activist goals can be financial, social, or governance-driven. Common objectives might be increasing dividends and share buybacks, reducing excessive management salaries, or disinvestment from particular countries or activities.

25 years ago these folks were called corporate raiders, forcing management to take action or buy them out, often at a fat premium to the current stock price. This sort of “greenmail” seemed deeply unfair. More recently they have been more like investment prospectors, looking for shareholder value in unlikely places—like undervalued real estate that should be sold, or byzantine corporate structures that can be simplified.

Not surprisingly, corporate managers aren’t very fond of activists. Often, activists want management to distribute accumulated cash. That cash can feel like a security blanket—a rainy-day fund in case something goes wrong. But the cash belongs to the owners, not the executives. When it builds up on the balance sheet, management can be tempted to do something stupid—like overpaying for an acquisition, or engaging in high-profile vanity projects.

Activist investors should have a strategic view, and not just focus on short-term returns. Fifteen years ago cash comprised 40% of Ford’s market capitalization. Ford paid out half of this cash-hoard in a special dividend. If they hadn’t distributed this to shareholders, they would have been able to purchase a lot of undervalued assets just a few years later, during the financial crisis. But no one was looking that far forward.

Still, activists can be catalysts, unlocking the value in the underlying securities. That’s why share prices often rise dramatically when their interest is reported. Activist investing can beat passive indices when the activists are effective.

Canadian Lynx. Photo: Rudolfo Usenet. Source: Duke University

These predators just need to be careful that they don’t become the prey!

Douglas R. Tengdin, CFA

Chief Investment Officer

By | 2017-07-17T12:22:20+00:00 November 17th, 2015|Global Market Update|0 Comments

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