In the Capital Region

What is capital?

Photo: M. Minderhoud. Source: Wikimedia

Capital is the stuff businesses use to make money. Factories have machinery and robots and 3D printers to make stuff; builders have tools and trucks to build stuff; service organizations use people and processes and meeting spaces to care for stuff. And everyone needs computers and data. Capital is what allows an economy to grow, and access to capital – physical and human – enables people and nations to become wealthy.

Percent of firms expanding capital spending in the Philadelphia Fed District. Source: St. Louis Fed.

So, it’s encouraging when capital spending begins to accelerate in an economy. During recessions, spending on capital goods collapses, as all spending does. Since the financial crisis, real capital spending only grew modestly, compared to prior recoveries. During the oil price collapse a couple years ago, spending on drilling rigs collapsed again. Now, it’s come back, and it’s even accelerating a little.

Source: Baker-Hughes

And there’s still a lot of potential for improvement. Now it’s true, the weakest areas of capital spending have been for buildings. This is natural, considering the bubble-fed overbuilding that we’re still working through. And IT spending is just picking up, which may be due to changes in the way companies access computing services. Now, as spending on research and development increases, this will have a multiplier effect on the economy: more capital improves productivity, improved productivity improves wages, improved wages improves final demand, and so on.

It’s another way that our economy is poised to accelerate. Demand may have been deferred, but it won’t be denied.

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By |2018-08-01T06:29:06+00:00August 1st, 2018|Global Market Update|0 Comments

About the Author:

Mr. Tengdin is the Chief Investment Officer at Charter Trust Company and author of “The Global Market Update”. The audio version of each post can be heard on radio stations throughout New England every weekday. Mr. Tengdin graduated from Dartmouth College, Magna Cum Laude. He received his Master of Arts from Trinity Divinity School, Magna Cum Laude and received his Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation in 1992. Mr. Tengdin has been managing investment portfolios for over 30 years, working for Bank of Boston, State Street Global Advisors, Citibank – Tunisia, and Banknorth Group. Throughout his career, Mr. Tengdin has emphasized helping clients manage their financial risks in difficult environments where they can profit from investing in diverse assets in diverse settings. - Leave a comment if you have any questions—I read them all! - And Follow me on Twitter @GlobalMarketUpd

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