Why do sports seem so corrupt?
Yesterday Swiss police arrested six high-level International Soccer Federation officials as part of a global probe. Later, the US Justice Department unsealed a 47-count indictment against 14 defendants, alleging racketeering, wire-fraud, and money-laundering. Justice claims that FIFA executives received bribes in exchange for broadcast rights. The sums involved are huge: over $150 million over 25 years.
Continue reading A Sporting Life?
Remember Long Term Capital Management?
Twenty years ago a couple of traders teamed up with some Nobel Prize winners to create an investment company premised on the notion that similar things act similarly—that in the long run, finance obeys rational rules. Small differences in price can be understood and used to create financial returns.
Continue reading Long Term, Short Term, Borrowed Term
Is investing like gardening?
Source: Johnny’s Selected Seeds
Both require planning. Both encourage diversification. In both cases, time is your friend. Successful investors and gardeners look past their current circumstances to discern the underlying trends. And both have to watch out for pests and poachers who can steal what you’ve cultivated.
Continue reading Growth Investments
How do you take your investing to the next level?
Source: Public Domain Archive
Investing is complicated. It’s not enough to understand stocks, bonds, accounting, and discounted cash flow. You also need to have insight that the rest of the world doesn’t—or can’t have. Junk bond investor Howard Marks puts it this way:
“First level thinking says, ‘It’s a good company; let’s buy the stock.’ Second level thinking says, ‘It’s a good company, but everyone thinks it’s a great company, and it’s not. So let’s sell.”
Continue reading Moving It Up
“The fix is in.”
Photo: Clara Natoli. Source: Morguefile
This usually means someone is cheating. In sports, one or more players agree to fail, or at least to let the other side look good. In finance, though, “the fix” often refers to the determination of a certain price on a financial instrument at a certain time. Global markets calculate a “fix” on interest rates, precious metals prices, and foreign exchange at 4 pm London time. This pricing convention may also be referred to in swap contracts worth trillions of dollars.
Continue reading Forex Fixings and Fraud
Why do dividends matter?
Photo: Ashley Dace. Source: Wikipedia
Dividends have become quite popular in recent years. With interest rates so low, many income-oriented investors have used dividend-paying stocks as substitutes for bonds in their portfolios. And dividends have a lot to recommend them. They usually pay cash quarterly, they can grow with inflation, and taxable investors may owe less to the government if the dividends are qualified.
Continue reading A Dividend Polaris
Those vinyl discs were expensive, bulky, and easily marred. But we all bought them because we wanted to listen to music. People spent a lot of money on their stereos. But when I was in college, if a big truck hit the pothole outside my dorm, my record would jump. I never imagined that lasers and disks and computer files would become the way music would be collected, stored, and played. And the songs wouldn’t skip.
Continue reading It’s Obvious …
Have you ever been in the presence of greatness?
Photo: Douglas Tengdin
It’s happened to me a couple times. The first was when I was in high-school and had a few words with a Nobel Prize-winning physicist–one who had been a leader on the Manhattan Project. I was awed by his intellect.
Continue reading Greatness Thrust Upon Them …
What can investors learn from “Deflategate”?
Gillette Stadium. Photo: Bernard Gagnon. Source: Wikipedia
Amid the investigation and charges and penalties and appeals associated with last year’s New England Patriots’ football air-pressure controversy, there are some lessons investors can learn. After all, sports are a microcosm of life. When we compete on the field, we strive to do our best physically, mentally, and emotionally. We have to cooperate with others in a highly stylized environment. The rough-and-tumble of football can help us understand some of the rough-and-tumble of the markets.
Continue reading The Age of Deflation
Has the rally in the dollar run out of steam?
The US Dollar has been on a roll. Over the past year the trade weighted dollar has risen 25 percent. The strong dollar has depressed exports, retail sales, industrial production, corporate earnings, and a host of other factors. The combination of tighter money here and aggressive QE in Europe and Japan have raised the dollar’s value significantly, after three years of little change.
Continue reading Rich Dollar / Poor Dollar